Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.032208 0.037525 0.043377 0.050290 0.058220 0.067025 0.077531
2025-09-07 0.025292 0.032489 0.041141 0.052268 0.066160 0.082885 0.104499
2025-09-14 0.019759 0.027667 0.037936 0.052159 0.071249 0.095868 0.129891
2025-09-21 0.015422 0.023344 0.034369 0.050681 0.074015 0.105967 0.152762
2025-09-28 0.012529 0.020348 0.031929 0.050098 0.077595 0.117278 0.178400
2025-10-05 0.011153 0.019275 0.031980 0.052959 0.086290 0.136613 0.217529
2025-10-12 0.009850 0.018038 0.031513 0.054838 0.093585 0.154534 0.256423
2025-10-19 0.008202 0.015900 0.029213 0.053340 0.095182 0.163642 0.282422
2025-10-26 0.007032 0.014378 0.027681 0.052834 0.098217 0.175192 0.313340
2025-11-02 0.005923 0.012758 0.025705 0.051209 0.099014 0.182936 0.338488
2025-11-09 0.005054 0.011444 0.024076 0.049948 0.100213 0.191353 0.365446
2025-11-16 0.004459 0.010579 0.023170 0.049905 0.103597 0.203883 0.400793
2025-11-23 0.003813 0.009500 0.021698 0.048592 0.104488 0.212132 0.429552
2025-11-30 0.003552 0.009240 0.021897 0.050736 0.112487 0.234603 0.487352
2025-12-07 0.003155 0.008587 0.021144 0.050744 0.116110 0.248938 0.530819
2025-12-14 0.002718 0.007750 0.019845 0.049360 0.116603 0.257052 0.562693
2025-12-21 0.002396 0.007141 0.018976 0.048820 0.118836 0.268891 0.603197
2025-12-28 0.002299 0.007114 0.019506 0.051628 0.128864 0.297990 0.682229
2026-01-04 0.002158 0.006936 0.019632 0.053471 0.136877 0.323500 0.755876
2026-01-11 0.001878 0.006305 0.018494 0.052012 0.136946 0.331609 0.792522
2026-01-18 0.001676 0.005859 0.017775 0.051519 0.139270 0.344944 0.841876
2026-01-25 0.001457 0.005317 0.016702 0.049934 0.138687 0.351543 0.876567
2026-02-01 0.001279 0.004865 0.015808 0.048702 0.138838 0.359837 0.915845